The EU market is a fast-paced, free flow of goods, parts, and products that lets manufacturers and consumers work together and come up with very creative ways to make things. Because of the Atlantic Ocean, the US can't just replace it.The United States is really too far away. France is only 16 miles away, and there are good train and road connections that help the supply chains and factories work quickly and well. Costs, uncertainty, time, and carbon impact all go up because of the Atlantic Ocean.It's not a given that there will be more trade; a trade deal only makes it easier and cheaper. To boost trade between the UK and the US after the deal is made, UK suppliers will need to convince Americans to switch from their current providers to UK suppliers. It's not going to be simple or easy. Though trade should go up after a deal, we wouldn't expect a big jump in volume. It will take a long time.
At the moment, US trade makes up about 0.2% of GDP.
It would only be 0.6% of GDP, even if it tripled after a trade deal, which it won't. It will never be as big as the EU market.The UK is giving up on sure to be big trade volumes with the EU in order to have a chance at slowly growing but smaller trade volumes with the US.Not only trade with the EU is in danger. It makes up most of all international trade. When the UK leaves the EU, all of its trade deals with the rest of the world will end. This is because the EU negotiated these deals and they rely on the UK remaining a member of the EU.You shouldn't think of the EU as another USSR. Instead, picture a trade bloc with 500 million people, one Single Market, and a set of tariffs that protect European farms from competition. The trade group also makes sure that everyone follows the same health and safety rules.And now, one brave country is sick of being limited in its freedom and chances, so it quits this trade bloc. It is now the only country in a world full of trade blocs. China, NAFTA, EFTA, and the EU are some of the big ones.This seems like a pretty risky plan, and I wish you luck as you try to make trade deals with these big companies.This is possible: the US might be very friendly, but I don't think so.
The US farmers will want their government to open the UK market, so I think the UK agro-food sector will be hit hard soon after Brexit.
As Rees-Mogg said, the UK people will have lower food tariffs and be able to choose for themselves whether they want hormone-fed beef or genetically modified soy beans. Price will play a role here, so if US items are cheaper than UK goods, you should give that some thought.The EU supports make sure that your farmers can sell their goods and keep imports from hurting them. You will either have to hold it up after Brexit if you leave that security in place, or the US will try to talk you out of it.Since US companies don't usually care too much about special relationships, I think this will put the UK in a pretty tough spot.Yes, if there are other things on the table. We need to be ready to blame the NHS and eat food that would be 5 times more likely to make us sick even if it hadn't been shipped across the Atlantic for several days. I am sure that if we do that, our trade deal with the US would be hugely huge, and it would also be terrible for healthcare and food quality in this country. That's okay, though, because the top 0.01% of Americans would still be making more money.
It seems a bit odd that the campaign is so set on a no-deal Brexit, which would mean that there will be no NHS in a few years.
The campaign almost certainly won because of a bus stop ad that talked about the NHS.The EU buys about 45% of the UK's exports, making it our biggest trading partner by a long shot. The US buys less than half that amount, so where does the crazy idea that the US is our biggest trade partner come from? Even though it's the biggest country, the EU is still a bigger market.The EU trades as a bloc, not as a collection of separate countries. This means that the fact that a few small countries in the east may not be getting anything from the UK has no effect at all.Everything that Brexit supporters say is based on small pieces of data that don't make sense in a bigger picture. This question tries to build a whole castle on those weak grounds.
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